02-17-2023, 06:30 PM
(02-17-2023, 05:10 PM)SkunkedAgain Wrote: I'm having a hard time believing open water when we can't get up to the teens during the daytime... Still just barely made zero at ten in Benson today... I'm ready for a little more heat, if not, I'm going to have to get an extension for the ice auger... but I guess we're paying for the January where we just barely kept the ice from melting off most of the lakes up here... Those pay backs are bruttal, but I hear a switch is on the way next week with the promise of more snow and maybe warmer temps... We'll see how good the soothsayers are this time... Later J
Don'tcha wish you had a job where you could be wrong a lot and still keep your job? That being said, I understand and respect the variability potential on any forecast more than a few hours out. Changes in wind speed and direction...along with isolated pockets of "weather" in the approaching air mass...can make the actual results much different than the original "guesstimate".
One time a few years ago the snow forecast for our area was a "skiff". I woke up the next morning to over a foot of heavy wet snow that choked my snowblower. Since then our term for getting a lot of snow is "getting skiffed".
At least the weather fourcrashers these days are leaving themselves some leeway by showing several "models" for what the incoming weather might actually do. Try getting your boss at work to accept your "alternate models" when you get a job assignment. Your model might include looking for a new job.